Boston Celtics (37-16) vs. Miami Heat (25-25)
February 10, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat +5.5; Over/Under: 219
(Get latest betting odds)
The Boston Celtics and Miami Heat meet Monday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Celtics Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Celtics Pick.
Boston Celtics Betting Preview
The Boston Celtics beat the Knicks, lost to the Mavs, and play the Spurs, 76ers, and Knicks next. The Boston Celtics are averaging 117.5 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 108.7 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Jayson Tatum is averaging 26.8 points and 8.6 rebounds, while Jaylen Brown is averaging 22.9 points and 6 rebounds. Kristaps Porzingis is the third double-digit scorer and Derrick White is grabbing 4.2 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 79.4 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat beat the 76ers, lost to the Nets, and they play the Thunder, Mavs, and Raptors next. The Miami Heat are averaging 110.5 points on 45.6 percent shooting and allowing 110.6 points on 46 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.7 points and 5.6 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 16.4 points and 10 rebounds. Terry Rozier is the third double-digit scorer and Nikola Jovic is grabbing 3.9 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Celtics have lost five of their last six games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
- The underdogs have won each of the Heat’s last three games.
- The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 14 games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Heat’s last four games.
Why the Boston Celtics will win
- The Celtics have won 12 of their last 13 road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Heat have lost each of their last six home games against Celtics teams that held a winning record.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as home underdogs following a loss.
- The Celtics have covered the spread in each of their last four games as favorites against the Heat.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Heat rank 29th in the league for blocks per game this season (3.8).
- The Heat rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (14.3).
- The Celtics rank 1st in the league for turnovers per game this season (11.8).
- The Celtics rank 1st in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (17.8).
Heat vs Celtics Injury Report
The Miami Heat will be without Isaiah Stevens and Dru Smith. Jaime Jaquez Jr. is questionable with an illness.
The Celtics will be without Jrue Holiday and Torrey Craig. Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown are questionable.
Heat vs Celtics Prediction
The Boston Celtics have taken over this rivalry with wins in eight of the last nine games against the Heat, and they’re easily the better team in this spot. However, the Celtics have had some sloppy performances lately which includes a loss to the Mavs, and let’s not forget getting spanked by the 76ers for three quarters. We’re also seeing Brown and Tatum as questionable, with Jrue already being ruled out. The Heat should be motivated after laying an egg against the Nets and there are reinforcements with Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, and Kyle Anderson joining the squad. Check the injury report for this one before betting, but give me the Heat and the points at the time of this writing.
