The Los Angeles Dodgers and the New York Yankees meet Tuesday in MLB playoffs action from Yankee Stadium. This will be Game 4 in a best-of-seven World Series. Here’s a NY Yankees vs LA Dodgers Prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Yankees vs Dodgers pick.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Dodgers got off to a great start in this series, though they initially struggled in the opener. It took a 10th-inning grand slam from Freddie Freeman to win Game 1 6-3, then came a pretty smooth 4-2 victory on Saturday. In Game 3 Los Angeles scored two quick runs in the top of the first inning and powered out another victory 4-2. Starter Walker Buehler finished with 5.0 clean frames and five Ks.
For the starter gig in Game 4, the Dodgers didn’t immediately announce a name.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
Over on the Yankees’ side, they had game one in the bag with a 3-2 lead in the bottom of the 10th inning but blew the highly important road victory. Game 2 featured three runs surrendered in the third innings and just four team hits overall. On Monday New York had a pretty rough effort from starter Clarke Schmidt with 2.2 innings, three earned, two hits, and four walks. The offense only came up with five hits in a similar rough effort.
It’ll be Luis Gil in the starter slot for the Yankees on Tuesday. This year Gil went 15-7 with a 3.50 ERA in 29 starts. Gil has just 4.0 innings and a 4.50 ERA in one postseason appearance so far this year—the only playoff game of his career.
Total Runs Facts
- Twelve of the Dodgers’ last 13 road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Yankees’ last six home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Three of the last four World Series games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the last seven World Series games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last four games as road underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last three games as favorites against NL West opponents.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded a Double in each of his last three home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Aaron Judge has hit a home run in each of his last four home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine playoff appearances after playing the previous day.
- Anthony Rizzo has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances with the Yankees as favorites.
- Anthony Rizzo has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances with the Yankees as favorites.
- Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of his last four home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Juan Soto has recorded a hit in each of his last 14 playoff appearances after playing the previous day.
- Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (58) this season.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Freddie Freeman has hit a home run in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
- Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last seven appearances with the Dodgers as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Freddie Freeman has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL opponents.
- Freddie Freeman has scored at least one run in each of his last eight appearances with the Dodgers as road underdogs against AL opponents.
- Mookie Betts has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances with the Dodgers as underdogs.
- Mookie Betts has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 23 road appearances against AL opponents.
- Kevin Kiermaier has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five playoff appearances with his team as an underdog against AL East opponents.
- Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (54) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (237).
- The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (672).
- The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.446).
- The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (842).
NY Yankees vs LA Dodgers Prediction
I might lean toward trying the Dodgers again in this one. Gil hasn’t pitched since Game 4 of the ALCS versus Cleveland back on October 18. In that game, Gil posted 4.0 innings with two earned runs, three hits, three walks, and three Ks in an eventual 8-6 victory. Given how Los Angeles’ hitters jumped all over a rusty pitcher (Nestor Cortes) in Game 1, I’m not thrilled about Gil’s chances here.
On Monday, Los Angeles had a little bit of offense in the right places (with another homer from Freeman) in their five-hit victory. The pitching staff did the rest, and outside of a couple earned runs in the ninth, it was nearly flawless. Now the Dodgers are on the edge of a sweep, something which seemed like a pipe dream before the series began. With the way they’ve been playing, however, I think LA has a great chance at closing this thing out on Tuesday.