In this article, we will formulate an LA Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens prediction for this NFL game on Monday, November 25th at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 12 matchup.
LA Chargers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Chargers are 7-3 this year after they defeated Cincinnati by a score of 34-27 in their last game. Los Angeles held Cincinnati to two field goals in the first half and they jumped out to a 27-6 lead in the third quarter, but they needed a late touchdown run from Dobbins to get the win. The Chargers were outgained by a total of 452-435, lost the turnover battle 1-0, and went 3-11 on third down in the game. Justin Herbert threw for 297 yards and two touchdowns, while Ladd McConkey caught six passes for 123 yards in the win.
Prior to that game, the Chargers won three games in a row against the Titans, Browns, and Saints. The LA offense has scored 22 points per game with 204.8 passing yards and 121.6 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 14.5 points per game this season. Justin Herbert has completed 63.5% of his passes for 2,186 yards, 13 touchdowns, and one interception, while Ladd McConkey has caught 43 passes for 615 yards and four scores this year.
Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview
The Baltimore Ravens are 7-4 this season after they lost to Pittsburgh by a score of 18-16 in their last game. Baltimore kept Pittsburgh out of the end zone for the full game, but they did allow six field goals and couldn’t convert on a two-point conversion to tie the game late. The Ravens outgained Pittsburgh by a total of 329-303, lost the turnover battle 3-1, and went 4-11 on third down in the game. Lamar Jackson threw for 207 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Derrick Henry rushed for 65 yards and one score.
Prior to that loss, the Ravens defeated Cincinnati by a score of 35-34 and Denver by a score of 41-10. The Baltimore offense has scored 30.4 points per game with 252.8 passing yards and 177.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 24.6 points per game this season. Lamar Jackson has completed 67% of his passes for 2,876 yards, 25 touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Derrick Henry has rushed for 1,185 yards and 13 scores.
Why the Chargers will cover
- The Ravens have lost four of their last five November games as road favorites against AFC opponents.
- The Chargers have won each of their last four games.
- The Chargers have covered the spread in each of their last four games.
- The Ravens have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five November games as road favorites against AFC opponents.
- The Chargers have won the first half in each of their last six games against AFC opponents.
- The Chargers have won the first quarter in five of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Chargers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last eight games following a home win.
Why the Ravens will cover
- The Ravens have won each of their last 15 games as favorites following a Division loss.
- The Chargers have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs.
- The Ravens have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as favorites following a Division loss.
- The Chargers have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as underdogs.
- The Ravens have won the first quarter in four of their last five Week 12 games.
- The Ravens have scored the first touchdown in each of their last 10 games as favorites following a loss.
- The Ravens have won the first half in each of their last six Monday road games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Chargers’ last eight Monday games played on the West Coast have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of the Ravens’ last eight road games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Facts
- Josh Palmer has recorded 30+ receiving yards in each of his last 12 appearances with the Chargers as underdogs.
- Gus Edwards has recorded 42+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as an underdog following a win.
- Justin Herbert has recorded 279+ passing yards in four of the Chargers’ last five games.
- Quentin Johnston has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last five appearances following a win.
- Justin Herbert has recorded 29+ rushing yards in each of the Chargers’ last four home games against AFC North opponents.
- Justin Herbert has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Chargers’ last four games as underdogs following a home win.
- Justin Herbert has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Chargers’ last seven games as underdogs following a home win.
- Heading into Week 12, J.K. Dobbins ranks T1st in the NFL in broken tackles (18) this season.
Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts
- Derrick Henry has scored the first touchdown in three of his last four November appearances.
- Derrick Henry has scored two or more touchdowns in three of his last four Week 12 appearances.
- Diontae Johnson has recorded 16+ receiving yards in 34 of his last 35 road appearances.
- Diontae Johnson has recorded 15+ rushing and receiving yards in 35 of his last 36 appearances following a loss.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 247+ passing yards in each of the Ravens’ last four games against AFC West opponents.
- Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last 12 appearances.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 45+ rushing yards in each of the Ravens’ last eight Monday games.
- Lamar Jackson has thrown two or more touchdowns in five of the Ravens’ last six games against AFC opponents.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 23+ completions in three of the Ravens’ last four road games against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 12, Derrick Henry ranks 1st in the NFL in rushing yards (1185) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 12, the Chargers rank 1st in the NFL in points allowed per game (14.5) this season.
- Heading into Week 12, the Chargers rank 1st in the NFL in Q1 opponent points per game (1.9) this season.
- Heading into Week 12, the Ravens rank 1st in the NFL in yards per game (430.1) this season.
- Heading into Week 12, the Ravens rank 32nd in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (284.5) this season.
LA Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction
Los Angeles comes into this matchup playing some of their best football of the season, as they have won four games in a row, and they will be at home for this game. The Chargers have one of the best defensive units in the NFL and even though they did allow 27 last week to the Bengals, they still played very well for the first 2.5 quarters. Baltimore has lost two of their last four games and they really struggled to generate points against the Steelers last week. The Ravens have one of the best offenses in the NFL, but their defense is awful. I think we could see another high-scoring game in this matchup, as LA will only slow down Baltimore for so long, so give me the over here.