In this article we will formulate an Eagles vs Chiefs prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, February 9th at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for Super Bowl LIX.
Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Eagles were 14-3 during the regular season and they are coming off of a 55-23 win over Washington in their last game. Philadelphia led 27-15 at halftime and they added 28 more points in the second half in the blowout win. The Eagles out gained Washington by a total of 459-350, won the turnover battle 4-0, and went 5-10 on third down in the game. Jalen Hurts threw for 246 yards and one touchdown, while Saquon Barkley rushed for 118 yards and three scores in the win.
Prior to that game, the Eagles defeated the Rams by a score of 28-22 and the Packers by a score of 22-10 in their first two playoff games. Philadelphia has won 15 of their last 16 games, with the only loss in that span against Washington by a score of 36-33. The Philadelphia offense has scored 27.2 points per game with 187.9 passing yards and 179.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 17.8 points against per game this season. Jalen Hurts has completed 69.6% of his passes for 505 yards and three touchdowns, while Saquon Barkley has rushed for 442 yards and five scores in this postseason.
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview
The Kansas City Chiefs went 15-2 in the regular season and they are coming off of a 32-29 win over Buffalo in their last game. Kansas City led 21-16 at halftime, but they trailed 22-21 in the third quarter and they were tied at 29 in the fourth, before kicking a late field goal and forcing a stop on defense for the win. The Chiefs were out gained by a total of 374-368, lost the turnover battle 1-0, and went 5-9 on third down in the game. Patrick Mahomes threw for 245 yards and one touchdown, while Xavier Worthy caught six passes for 85 yards and one score in the game.
Prior to that win, the Chiefs defeated Houston by a score of 23-14 in their first playoff game, despite being out gained 336-212. Kansas City has won eight of their last nine games, with their lone loss coming against the Broncos in the last game of the regular season, where they were resting starters. The Kansas City offense has scored 22.6 points per game with 222.4 passing yards and 105.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 19.2 points against per game this season. Patrick Mahomes has completed 66.7% of his passes for 422 yards and two touchdowns, while Travis Kelce has caught nine passes for 136 yards and one score in the playoffs.
Why the Eagles will beat the Chiefs
- The Eagles have won each of their last eight games against AFC opponents.
- Reigning Super Bowl Champions have lost three of their last four Super Bowls.
- The Eagles have covered the spread in each of their last six games following a Division game.
- The Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Eagles have won the first half in each of their last 12 Sunday games.
- The Eagles have won the first quarter in each of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Eagles have scored the first touchdown in each of their last eight games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Eagles’ last four games against reigning Super Bowl champions have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of the Chiefs’ last six postseason games as favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of the last five Sunday games at Caesars Superdome have gone UNDER the total points line.
Philadelphia Eagles Player Prop Facts
- Jalen Hurts has scored at least one touchdown in eight of the Eagles’ last nine games against AFC opponents.
- Jalen Hurts has recorded 47+ rushing yards in five of the Eagles’ last six games against AFC West opponents.
- Jalen Hurts has recorded 230+ passing yards in four of the Eagles’ last five games against AFC opponents.
- Grant Calcaterra has recorded 22+ receiving yards in four of the Eagles’ last five games against AFC opponents.
- C.J. Gardner-Johnson is just one away from 20 career interceptions (including playoffs).
Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts
- Xavier Worthy has scored a touchdown in each of the Chiefs’ last four games as favorites following a win.
- DeAndre Hopkins has recorded 23+ receiving yards in each of his 31 previous appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC opponents.
- Isiah Pacheco has recorded 23+ rushing yards in each of his 12 previous appearances against NFC opponents.
- Isiah Pacheco has recorded 43+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 12 previous appearances against NFC opponents.
- Isiah Pacheco is just one away from 5 career playoff touchdowns.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Eagles ranked 1st in the NFL in yards allowed per game (278.4) during the reg. season.
- The Eagles ranked 1st in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (174.2) during the reg. season.
- The Chiefs ranked T1st in the NFL in Q2 win percentage (70.6) during the reg. season.
- The Chiefs were one of only two teams in the NFL to win five games in which they trailed during the fourth quarter during the reg. season.
Eagles vs Chiefs Prediction
Kansas City comes into this matchup looking to win their third straight Super Bowl, while Philadelphia is looking for revenge on their 38-35 loss in Super Bowl LVII in 2023. The Chiefs haven’t looked overly impressive this season, but they continue to find ways to win games and with Mahomes under center, they are never out of a game. Philadelphia looked dominant in their win over Washington in their last game, but they are heavily dependent on Barkley and the ground game. I know Hurts looked very sharp in that win against Washington, but I am curious to see how the passing attack looks against this Kansas City defense. This should be a great game between two very good teams and while it may seem crazy to go against Kansas City, that is exactly what I am going to do. I think the Philadelphia ground game is going to control the pace of this game and the Eagles defense will be able to generate stops. It is always a concern going against Kansas City and their ability to win the penalty yardage battle, but I am backing Barkley and the Eagles ground game here.