Oregon State Beavers (4-1) vs. Nevada Wolf Pack (2-4)
October 12, 2024 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Nevada Wolf Pack +3 / Oregon State Beavers -3; Over/Under: +47.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Nevada vs Oregon State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 12th at Mackay Stadium in Reno, Nevada. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 7 matchup.
Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Preview
The Nevada Wolf Pack are 2-4 (0-1) this year after they lost to San Jose State by a score of 35-31 in their last game. Nevada was tied at 21 at the half and they led 31-28 in the fourth, but they allowed a touchdown with 50 seconds left for the loss. The Wolf Pack were outgained by a total of 441-416, lost the turnover battle 1-0, and went 8-14 on third down in the game. Brendon Lewis threw for 213 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while also rushing for 90 yards and two scores.
Nevada also has losses against Minnesota, Georgia Southern, and SMU, while picking up wins against Troy and Eastern Washington. The Nevada offense has scored 24.8 points per game with 192.3 passing yards and 192.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 25.5 points per game this season. The Wolf Pack have gone 55.1% on third down and 4-9 on fourth down through six games. Brendon Lewis has completed 69% of his passes for 1,081 yards, nine touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Jaden Smith has caught 27 passes for 407 yards and three scores.
Oregon State Beavers Betting Preview
The Oregon State Beavers are 4-1 this season after they defeated Colorado State in double overtime by a score of 39-31 in their last game. Oregon State blew a 21-10 lead in the fourth quarter, but they were able to score the only points in the second overtime for the win. The Beavers were outgained by a total of 439-398, lost the turnover battle 2-1, and went 8-16 on third down in the game. Gevani McCoy threw for 147 yards and one interception, while Anthony Hankerson rushed for 113 yards and two scores.
Oregon State also has wins against Idaho State, San Diego State, and Purdue, but they did lose to Oregon by a score of 49-14 in their third game. The Oregon State offense has scored 30 points per game with 152 passing yards and 264.4 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 23.2 points per game this season. The Beavers have gone 50.7% on third down and 8-14 on fourth down through five games. Gevani McCoy has completed 62.9% of his passes for 718 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Anthony Hankerson has rushed for 485 yards and nine scores.
Why Oregon State will cover
- Oregon State has won 13 of its last 14 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Nevada has lost 24 of its last 28 games.
- Oregon State has covered the spread in each of its last five road games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference.
- Nevada has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against opponents from the Pac-12 Conference.
- Oregon State has won the first quarter in seven of its last nine games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference.
- Oregon State has won the first half in each of its last six games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of Oregon State’s last 10 games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of Nevada’s last five home games against non-conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Nevada ranks T130th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (133).
- Nevada ranks T118th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (4.0).
- Oregon State ranks 6th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (264.4).
- Oregon State ranks 125th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (152.0).
Nevada vs Oregon State Prediction
Oregon State comes into this game with a 4-1 record on the season, but they struggled to beat a bad Colorado State team last week. The Beavers have scored at least 38 points in three of their first five games and they should be able to pick up another win here. Nevada only has one win against a FBS team so far this year, but they did battle against San Jose State and Georgia Southern. I think Nevada is better than their record would suggest, but I think they are going to struggle on defense. Take Oregon State here.
