North Texas vs Utah State Prediction 11-29-24 College Basketball Picks
Utah State (5-0) vs. North Texas (6-1)
November 29, 2024 6:30 pm EDT
The Line: North Texas +4; Over/Under: 134.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Utah State Aggies and the North Texas Mean Green meet Friday in college basketball action from HP Field House. Here’s a North Texas vs Utah State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best North Texas vs Utah State pick.
Utah State Aggies Betting Preview
The Aggies have gotten through a half-dozen games so far, unscathed the whole way. Utah State has taken out Alcorn State, Charlotte, Westminster UT, Montana, Iowa, and St. Bonaventure in succession during that time.
On Thursday versus the Bonnies, Utah State was down 30-25 at halftime. The Aggies surged on a 47-37 run from there and took the comeback win 72-67. Mason Falslev doubled up on 15 points and 12 rebounds to lead the way.
North Texas Mean Green Betting Preview
Over on the North Texas side, they took out Evansville, WBU, and Minnesota in their first three outings before a loss to McNeese State. The Green recovered with wins over Texas Wesleyan, Oregon State, and Northern Iowa in the next trio.
In their Thanksgiving matchup versus Northern Iowa, the Mean Green held a solid 34-21 edge at the break. North Texas closed on a 34-27 run and took the win 68-48. Atin Wright led the way with 18 points and two boards.
Why the North Texas Mean Green will win
- North Texas has won seven of its last eight night games.
- North Texas has won the first half in 29 of its last 34 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Utah State Aggies will win
- Utah State has won each of its last 13 night games against non-conference opponents.
- Utah State has won the first half in 13 of its last 16 night games against non-conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of North Texas’ last 16 games against non-conference opponents at neutral venues has produced a total of 132 or fewer points.
- Each of Utah State’s last 12 games has produced a total of 139+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- North Texas ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (46.0).
- North Texas ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (55.6).
- Utah State ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for offensive rating this season (130.6).
- Utah State ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for defensive rating this season (90.6).
North Texas vs Utah State Prediction
I’ll lean toward Utah State. The Aggies started slowly against St. Bonaventure in Thursday’s matchup but played a disciplined game ball-control-wise with just eight turnovers. The 22-of-28 rate at the line proved to be the difference, as Utah State hit just 34.4 percent from the field and 6-of-28 (21.4 percent) from 3-point range. The good news is that the Aggies have scored 72 or more points in all six games this year; the bad news is that they let the Bonnies get a little too close on Thursday.
As for the Mean Green, they’ll be able to give the Aggies some trouble here if all goes well. North Texas hit 50 percent rom the field with a 33-26 rebounding advantage versus Northern Iowa in Thursday’s matchup, so the Green should be able to give Utah State a game here. In the end, I like the Aggies to stay in control, however.
