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NY Yankees vs LA Dodgers Prediction 10-29-24 MLB Picks

LA Dodgers (107-68) vs. NY Yankees (101-72)
October 29, 2024 8:08 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -145 / LA Dodgers +122; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the New York Yankees meet Tuesday in MLB playoffs action from Yankee Stadium. This will be Game 4 in a best-of-seven World Series. Here’s a NY Yankees vs LA Dodgers Prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Yankees vs Dodgers pick.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Dodgers got off to a great start in this series, though they initially struggled in the opener. It took a 10th-inning grand slam from Freddie Freeman to win Game 1 6-3, then came a pretty smooth 4-2 victory on Saturday. In Game 3 Los Angeles scored two quick runs in the top of the first inning and powered out another victory 4-2. Starter Walker Buehler finished with 5.0 clean frames and five Ks.


For the starter gig in Game 4, the Dodgers didn’t immediately announce a name.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

Over on the Yankees’ side, they had game one in the bag with a 3-2 lead in the bottom of the 10th inning but blew the highly important road victory. Game 2 featured three runs surrendered in the third innings and just four team hits overall. On Monday New York had a pretty rough effort from starter Clarke Schmidt with 2.2 innings, three earned, two hits, and four walks. The offense only came up with five hits in a similar rough effort.

It’ll be Luis Gil in the starter slot for the Yankees on Tuesday. This year Gil went 15-7 with a 3.50 ERA in 29 starts. Gil has just 4.0 innings and a 4.50 ERA in one postseason appearance so far this year—the only playoff game of his career.

Total Runs Facts

  • Twelve of the Dodgers’ last 13 road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Yankees’ last six home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Three of the last four World Series games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the last seven World Series games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last four games as road underdogs.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last three games as favorites against NL West opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Jazz Chisholm has recorded a Double in each of his last three home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Aaron Judge has hit a home run in each of his last four home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Juan Soto has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine playoff appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Anthony Rizzo has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances with the Yankees as favorites.
  • Anthony Rizzo has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances with the Yankees as favorites.
  • Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of his last four home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Juan Soto has recorded a hit in each of his last 14 playoff appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (58) this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Freddie Freeman has hit a home run in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
  • Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last seven appearances with the Dodgers as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Freddie Freeman has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL opponents.
  • Freddie Freeman has scored at least one run in each of his last eight appearances with the Dodgers as road underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Mookie Betts has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances with the Dodgers as underdogs.
  • Mookie Betts has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 23 road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Kevin Kiermaier has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five playoff appearances with his team as an underdog against AL East opponents.
  • Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (54) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (237).
  • The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (672).
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.446).
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (842).

NY Yankees vs LA Dodgers Prediction

I might lean toward trying the Dodgers again in this one. Gil hasn’t pitched since Game 4 of the ALCS versus Cleveland back on October 18. In that game, Gil posted 4.0 innings with two earned runs, three hits, three walks, and three Ks in an eventual 8-6 victory. Given how Los Angeles’ hitters jumped all over a rusty pitcher (Nestor Cortes) in Game 1, I’m not thrilled about Gil’s chances here.

On Monday, Los Angeles had a little bit of offense in the right places (with another homer from Freeman) in their five-hit victory. The pitching staff did the rest, and outside of a couple earned runs in the ninth, it was nearly flawless. Now the Dodgers are on the edge of a sweep, something which seemed like a pipe dream before the series began. With the way they’ve been playing, however, I think LA has a great chance at closing this thing out on Tuesday.

Andrew's Free Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers +122

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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